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Top 12 ETFs with BOP/BSP Strategy Over Last 9 Months

BOP and BSP are two of the simplest strategies that we cover in our ebook Simple Trading Strategies That Work. Below is a table of the top 12 ETFs out of the 145 that we tested, using BOP over the last 9 months (189 trading days from May 1, 2011 to Jan 30, 2012).

Ticker BOP Buy/Hold
1 SKF 62.22 -4.93
2 FAZ 60.67 -9.32
3 TUR 52.84 -20.89
4 TZA 41.65 -11.85
5 MDY -41.23 -12.55
6 EZA 33.29 -11.08
7 XME -32.18 -20.00
8 TWM 31.03 -7.01
9 UYG 29.65 -19.92
10 FXP 28.75 -1.54
11 EWY 27.09 -12.63
12 TNA 26.10 -36.47

The BSP strategy is the opposite of BOP, therefore a negative value in the BOP column indicates that BSP should be used to get a positive return. The columns labeled BOP and Buy/Hold are in units of profits per share in U.S. dollars. The Buy/Hold column shows profits if you would have just bought one share and held it over the 9 months, with negative values indicate a loss. The trading period is from close to close, with no transaction cost.

The impressive thing here is not just that we had some good profits with BOP/BSP, but that the signs are switched for most ETFs between the BOP and Buy/Hold columns. Take TUR for example. With the BOP strategy we would have made 52.84 per share, but with the dumb buy-and-hold strategy we would have lost 20.89 per share.

Below are plots of BOP profit per share (red) along with the closing price (blue) for the top 3 ETFs. Note that the first 2 plots are nearly identical because SKF and FAZ are very similar ETFs.

BOP strategy on SKF over last 6 months. Click for larger image.

BOP strategy on SKF over last 6 months. Click for larger image.

BOP strategy on FAZ over last 6 months. Click for larger image.

BOP strategy on FAZ over last 6 months. Click for larger image.

BOP strategy on TUR over last 6 months. Click for larger image.

BOP strategy on TUR over last 6 months. Click for larger image.

For more details on the BOP and BSP strategies, and for other more advanced strategies see our ebook Simple Trading Strategies That Work.

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© 2010-2012 Stefan Hollos and Richard Hollos

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